{"id":4328,"date":"2026-10-25T17:47:54","date_gmt":"2026-10-25T09:47:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/?p=4328"},"modified":"2026-10-25T17:48:04","modified_gmt":"2026-10-25T09:48:04","slug":"10-26-%e5%be%b7%e7%94%b2-%e5%bc%97%e8%b3%b4%e5%a0%a1-vs-%e6%8b%9c%e4%bb%81%e6%85%95%e5%b0%bc%e9%bb%91-%e8%b3%bd%e5%89%8d%e8%a7%a3%e6%9e%90%ef%bc%9a%e9%bb%91%e6%a3%ae%e6%9e%97%e4%b8%bb%e5%a0%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/4328\/","title":{"rendered":"October 26th Bundesliga Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Pre-Match Analysis: The Black Forest hosts league leaders, can Bayern's attack reignite a scoring spree?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Freiburg have displayed far greater competitiveness than expected at the start of the season, securing 13 points in the first six rounds and firmly establishing themselves at the top of the table. They have also maintained an unbeaten home record at EuroPark, winning all five of their previous home matches across all competitions. Despite recent defeats to Bayer Leverkusen and Monaco, their attack has not faltered. Set pieces and aerial bombardment remain deadly weapons in tearing apart opposing defenses, and they are currently one of the most efficient teams in the Bundesliga in terms of headers. Looking back at their two encounters last season, Freiburg built a two-goal lead against Bayern Munich both times, proving that this Black Forest team will not passively retreat on home turf, but rather possesses the tactical confidence to actively drag the game into a physical battle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bayern Munich, riding high on their 6-1 thrashing of RB Leipzig, have returned to the top of the Bundesliga table. Their star striker, Harry Kane, not only maintains an exceptionally high finishing rate in the penalty area but also leads the league with five assists, highlighting his increasingly crucial role as the link-up playmaker in the attacking third. However, the away team faces a severe squad crisis: Luiz Diaz suffered a hamstring injury in the Champions League, Musiala and Pavlovic remain sidelined, Kimmich is on leave for personal reasons, and first-choice goalkeeper Neuer is confirmed to be out with a hamstring problem; even head coach Kompany will be absent. While the return of Olise from suspension may slightly alleviate the pressure on the right flank, the complete collapse of their midfield and defense will undoubtedly put Bayern under immense pressure when facing the home team's aerial onslaught.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From an advanced data perspective, both teams currently have an expected goals conceded (EPS) of 5.6, ranking first in the entire league. This is the biggest blind spot that might cause market doubts about the over. If Freiburg chooses a low, compact defense, the threshold of over 3.5 goals will indeed be extremely difficult to overcome. However, the home team's strong attacking desire at home this season, coupled with Bayern's significantly less stable control of the game's tempo away from home, makes the match very likely to develop into an open, back-and-forth affair. Although Bayern has serious injuries and absences of key players and coaches, their attack still possesses top-tier talent capable of instantly changing the course of a game; and Freiburg certainly has the ability to score against Bayern's depleted defense. Rather than betting on Bayern's ability to cover the spread with a weakened away team, following the pattern of both teams having ample attacking power and betting on both teams to push the total goals over 3.5 goals is undoubtedly the most worthwhile investment strategy for this match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

October 26, 00:30, Bundesliga: Freiburg vs. Bayern Munich
Total Score: Over 3.5 goals (O3.5)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other sessions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Premier League<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

October 25, 22:00 Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
Handicap: Crystal Palace to draw (0)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

October 25, 22:00 Liverpool vs Brighton
\u2022 Handicap: Brighton +0\/0.5 (+0\/0.5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

October 25, 22:00 Manchester United vs Bournemouth
Handicap: Bournemouth +0\/-0.5 (+0\/0.5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Artificial Armor<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\/25 22:00 Atalanta vs Frosinone
Handicap: Frosinone +0.5 (half a goal)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bundesliga<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

October 25, 22:30 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
\u2022 Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen -0\/-0.5 (-0\/0.5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Liga<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\/25 23:15 Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
\u2022 Handicap: Real Betis -0\/-0.5 (-0\/0.5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ligue 1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\/26 00:15 Toulouse vs Troyes
Handicap: Toulouse -1 (-1)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\/26 00:15 Marseille vs Le Havre
\u2022 Handicap: Marseille -1\/-1.5 (-1\/1.5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd25Popular articles:October 24th Premier League Arsenal vs Everton Pre-Match Analysis: Arsenal Control the Tempo, Can Everton Drag the Game to a Low Score?<\/a><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5f17\u8cf4\u5821\u672c\u5b63\u958b\u5c40\u5c55\u73fe\u51fa\u9060\u8d85\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5f37\u5927\u7af6\u722d\u529b\uff0c\u524d\u516d\u8f2a\u8c6a\u53d6\u5341\u4e09\u5206\u7a69\u5c45\u699c\u9996\u96c6\u5718\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u516c\u5712\u7403\u5834\u62c9\u51fa\u5404\u9805\u8cfd\u4e8b\u4e3b\u5834\u4e94\u6230\u5168 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4327,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3],"tags":[1026,3178,3177,3179,1229,2619,2791,3173,3175,1308,1286,2756,3171,2793,3169,3172,28,239,3176,1264,2792,2604,1274,3170,1378,2700,17,3174,9,572,2741],"class_list":["post-4328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-3","tag-bayern-munich","tag-bundesliga","tag-freiburg","tag-over-3-5","tag-1229","tag-2619","tag-2791","tag-3173","tag-3175","tag-1308","tag-1286","tag-2756","tag-3171","tag-2793","tag-3169","tag-3172","tag-28","tag-239","tag-3176","tag-1264","tag-2792","tag-2604","tag-1274","tag-3170","tag-1378","tag-2700","tag-17","tag-3174","tag-9","tag-572","tag-2741"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/970f8dbb-e164-461c-87ec-fb18d222a94d.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4328"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4329,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4328\/revisions\/4329"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4327"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krzys.tw\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}